Deportiva Venados vs Tapachula FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+1108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
3º
10
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
DEV
11%
16%
73%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
IPC
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEV
70%
19%
10%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
TAM
21%
26%
53%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 0
PDS
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tapachula FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IPC
3 - 0
TCS
79%
14%
8%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
2 - 2
CFT
48%
21%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |