Deportiva Venados vs Tapachula FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3552%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
6º
10º
8º
1
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
1% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
55.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
DEV
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 2
IPC
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEV
70%
19%
10%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
TAM
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 0
PDS
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Tapachula FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IPC
3 - 0
TCS
79%
14%
8%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
2 - 2
CFT
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |