Deportiva Venados vs Inter Playa del Carmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
48.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3552%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
5º
10º
7º
6
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
5 | 24 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 23 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 23 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
1% | 24% |
|
Play-offs
|
57.5% | 74.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportiva Venados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEV
70%
19%
10%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 0
TAM
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 0
PDS
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
PDS
1 - 0
DEV
31%
22%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
DEV
68%
19%
13%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Inter Playa del Carmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 1
IPC
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
IPC
0 - 1
TAM
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 3
IPC
15%
22%
64%
|
58 | 18 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IPC
1 - 0
LUL
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TAM
2 - 0
IPC
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |