LDU Loja vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BSC
2 - 0
LOJ
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
LOJ
0 - 3
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
EME
4 - 0
LOJ
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 5
AUC
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 0
LOJ
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
RIV
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 1
BSC
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
IVT
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 0
RIV
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |