LDU Loja vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
LOJ
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LOJ
0 - 1
IMB
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
LOJ
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
LOJ
2 - 2
COL
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
AUC
1 - 0
LOJ
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 2
LDU
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
MUS
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 0
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 0
MUS
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MUS
0 - 0
IMB
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |