Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 3-1
LDU Loja vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 1
UCE
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 1
LOJ
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 2
EME
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
IVT
1 - 0
LOJ
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
LOJ
4 - 0
QUI
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
LAR
1 - 0
MIN
51%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
TAC
3 - 3
LAR
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 1
LAR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LAR
3 - 2
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
ANZ
1 - 1
LAR
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |