LDU Loja vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LDU Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 4
EME
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
CUE
1 - 2
LOJ
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
LOJ
0 - 0
ESP
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 2
IVT
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOJ
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
NAC
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLM
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 1
NAC
43%
29%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
IMB
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |