Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-1
Deportes Valdivia vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDM
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
DEP
4 - 1
VAL
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MAG
3 - 2
VAL
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 5
PUE
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VAL
4 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
HUA
1 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
GOD
1 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 2
CUR
51%
26%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |