Deportes Valdivia vs Real San Joaquín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
11º
29
3º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
LIM
4 - 1
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 1
TRA
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
REN
2 - 2
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CON
58%
22%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real San Joaquín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 1
LAU
36%
24%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRA
4 - 1
JOA
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 3
LIM
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAU
4 - 2
JOA
49%
26%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JOA
0 - 2
CDP
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |