Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Deportes Valdivia vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
PUE
3 - 0
VAL
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
4 - 0
PUE
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
VAL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
DEP
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
DLS
3 - 3
VAL
49%
25%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 2
CUR
39%
25%
37%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
CUR
0 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
BAR
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAN
26%
22%
52%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
COQ
2 - 1
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |