Deportes Tolima vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 1
TOL
20%
23%
58%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2009 |
HUI
0 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 0
PAS
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 1
SFC
74%
18%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
RSC
3 - 0
CAR
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 2
JUN
30%
28%
43%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 2
QUI
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
JUN
0 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |