Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
SFE
1 - 0
TOL
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 2
TOL
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
AGU
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 0
EQU
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 0
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 1
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
ONC
0 - 1
SFE
39%
27%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |