Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 3
TOL
28%
26%
47%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
PAS
2 - 2
TOL
33%
27%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
TOL
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
2 - 1
HUI
71%
17%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 1
MIL
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 4
ONC
23%
25%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
ONC
23%
26%
51%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 0
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |