Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
TFC
1 - 0
TOL
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 2
TOL
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
CUC
46%
28%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 1
FOR
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 0
ONC
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 0
QUI
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
ONC
2 - 1
ENV
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 2
ONC
58%
23%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
ONC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |