Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
Deportes Tolima vs Mineros de Guayana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
4 - 1
CAR
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2006 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BUC
1 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
TOL
3 - 1
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 1
CAL
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mineros de Guayana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 3
MIN
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MIN
0 - 0
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
MIN
3 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
MIN
2 - 0
TRU
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
ARA
0 - 0
MIN
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |