Deportes Tolima vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PER
0 - 0
TOL
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 0
AME
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
PAS
1 - 3
TOL
30%
28%
42%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MIL
0 - 0
BUC
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
SFE
1 - 1
MIL
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MIL
1 - 3
ONC
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |