Deportes Tolima vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SFE
3 - 0
TOL
34%
27%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 2
MIL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 0
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
TOL
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 3
CAR
73%
17%
9%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 0
RSC
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 1
ONC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2011 |
ONC
1 - 1
JUN
52%
24%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
JUN
33%
27%
41%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |