Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
IND
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
TOL
22%
27%
51%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 0
CAL
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 1
ALI
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 0
JAG
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 1
PAS
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
COR
0 - 1
JAG
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JUN
2 - 4
JAG
67%
20%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |