Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
BUC
51%
26%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
JUN
0 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AGU
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
PAS
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 0
IND
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
IND
2 - 2
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 0
IND
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |