Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
JUN
42%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
TOL
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 1
CUC
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
CUC
0 - 0
TOL
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
IND
2 - 1
CAL
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 2
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
HUI
0 - 1
IND
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
IND
2 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |