Clausura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 1
SFE
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SFE
1 - 2
TOL
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAT
61%
24%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
3 - 0
ONC
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
TOL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
BUC
2 - 0
IND
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
IND
3 - 0
BUC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
IND
2 - 2
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
PAS
1 - 1
IND
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |