Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CUC
0 - 5
TOL
26%
27%
48%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 2
JUN
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 2
AGU
52%
26%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HUI
0 - 0
TOL
28%
26%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
IND
1 - 1
MIL
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
IND
0 - 1
AGU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
IND
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
IND
5 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |