Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
3 - 1
JUN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 0
TOL
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
SFE
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 1
MIL
18%
25%
57%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 0
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
CAL
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
EQU
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
IND
3 - 3
FOR
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |