Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
GAR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
TOL
32%
28%
41%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
SFE
1 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 2
ONC
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
TOL
2 - 1
CCP
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
AFC
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 2
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
REA
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |