Deportes Tolima vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
2 - 2
TAC
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
0 - 0
NAC
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 1
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 2
TOL
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 3
TOL
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
TAC
49%
22%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 1
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |