Deportes Tolima vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
EQU
44%
27%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
TFC
73%
18%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2009 |
EQU
0 - 0
MIL
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CUC
0 - 0
EQU
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
EQU
1 - 1
MIL
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
EQU
44%
27%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 0
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |