Deportes Tolima vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
HUI
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOL
0 - 3
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 0
QUI
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
4 - 1
ENV
71%
18%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2009 |
ENV
3 - 3
AME
35%
29%
36%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 1
CUC
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
EQU
2 - 2
ENV
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |