Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
EST
1 - 0
TOL
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
HUI
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
SFE
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Pereira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
PER
1 - 1
SFE
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
EQU
40%
27%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AME
3 - 2
PER
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
PER
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |