Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-2
Deportes Tolima vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
ENV
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 4
TOL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
COR
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 0
OPE
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
ARS
1 - 0
BAN
38%
29%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 2
RIV
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ARG
1 - 0
BAN
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BAN
4 - 0
IND
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |