Deportes Tolima vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
AGU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
HUI
1 - 3
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
CUC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 0
EQU
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
ONC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
NAC
17%
26%
57%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |