Apertura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Deportes Tolima vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
HUI
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
CUC
67%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
CUC
1 - 3
TOL
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
AME
2 - 3
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
NAC
20%
25%
55%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |