Deportes Tolima vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
SFE
0 - 2
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HUI
1 - 1
TOL
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
HUI
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 2
SFE
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
HUI
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
SFE
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2009 |
HUI
1 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
TOL
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |