Deportes Tolima vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
EQU
1 - 1
TOL
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 2
ENV
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 2
TOL
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 0
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
CAR
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
2 - 0
AME
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
CAL
31%
27%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ONC
4 - 0
AME
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
AME
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |