Deportes Tolima vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
0 - 1
TOL
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
2 - 2
TOL
65%
18%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1982 |
OLI
2 - 0
TOL
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1982 |
COB
3 - 0
TOL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1983 |
UNI
1 - 1
AME
69%
17%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1983 |
ALI
1 - 2
AME
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1980 |
VEL
0 - 0
AME
69%
18%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1980 |
SCI
0 - 0
AME
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |