Deportes Tolima vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
TOL
2 - 2
SFE
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
PER
0 - 2
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
TOL
36%
27%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 2
IND
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
AGU
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
CUC
3 - 1
ALI
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 2
PAS
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |