Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Deportes Temuco vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Temuco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 2
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
CSD
58%
23%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
DER
2 - 2
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
3 - 0
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
HUA
2 - 2
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 1
UCO
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 0
CSD
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 2
UCO
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
UCO
1 - 0
FVC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |