Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
DSC
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
DSC
0 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
DSC
2 - 1
USF
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
PUE
4 - 1
DSC
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
DSC
1 - 4
DCO
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSD
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
COB
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEP
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
PUE
3 - 0
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |