Deportes Santa Cruz vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 1
DSC
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DSC
3 - 2
CAU
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 1
DSC
25%
24%
50%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
DSC
0 - 0
MAL
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CHG
1 - 2
DSC
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LOT
0 - 0
CHG
32%
28%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CHG
1 - 0
LOT
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 1
DSC
25%
24%
50%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAU
3 - 2
LOT
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NTA
1 - 0
LOT
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |