Recoleta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
12º
12º
33
6º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
16.5% | 13% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
DSC
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
USF
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 1
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DER
1 - 3
ACS
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 0
LIM
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
0 - 0
UCO
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 2
ANT
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
UCO
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |