Recoleta vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CHG
2 - 2
DER
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
LIM
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
SAU
1 - 2
DER
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
IBE
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
DER
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FVC
0 - 1
CSD
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FVC
1 - 2
COQ
21%
26%
52%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
FVC
0 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 0
FVC
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FVC
2 - 3
PUE
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |