Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
12º
12º
35
3º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
16.5% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
USF
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
SWA
1 - 1
DER
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
DER
1 - 3
ACS
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 0
CUR
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 2
SWA
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 2
DSC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
DSC
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DSC
1 - 1
COL
17%
21%
61%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |