Recoleta vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
GVE
1 - 2
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 3
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DER
0 - 3
CAU
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
FVC
2 - 1
DER
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DER
0 - 3
IBE
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
LAU
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FVC
2 - 1
CON
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
IBE
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
SAU
0 - 1
CON
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
CHG
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |