Recoleta vs Colchagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
DER
5 - 1
LAU
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LIM
3 - 0
DER
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
SAU
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
IBE
1 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
CON
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CHG
0 - 1
ACC
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
CHG
0 - 1
CON
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CHG
1 - 2
VAL
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 2
CHG
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 0
CHG
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |