Recoleta vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
9º
16º
15º
41
4º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
DER
1 - 2
COB
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 1
DER
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DER
2 - 3
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
IQU
2 - 1
DER
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 1
DER
32%
27%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 3
DLS
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
BAR
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ANT
2 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
DEP
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |