Recoleta vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
CSD
1 - 2
DER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
DEP
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DER
0 - 0
DLS
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
DER
52%
26%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 2
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DCO
2 - 1
ACS
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
HUA
0 - 1
ACS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ACS
1 - 4
COL
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
OHI
0 - 5
ACS
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |