Recoleta vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DER
0 - 1
PUE
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ANT
3 - 0
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
DER
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 1
DER
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
DER
2 - 1
UCO
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ACS
0 - 1
NOB
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ULC
0 - 0
ACS
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
ACS
2 - 2
OHI
53%
26%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
ACS
3 - 2
UCO
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
COQ
3 - 1
ACS
27%
27%
47%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |