Recoleta vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
12º
12º
37
4º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 69 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 53 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 51 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 34 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
14º
|
34% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 30 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
16.5% | 81% |
|
Mid-table
|
83.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LIM
1 - 0
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
DER
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
DER
5 - 0
UCO
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
CUR
1 - 0
DER
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
DSC
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 0
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USF
1 - 1
ANT
22%
25%
52%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
1 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANT
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
0 - 1
DEP
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |