Deportes Quindío vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 4
QUI
65%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
QUI
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
ONC
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
CUC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
QUI
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
PER
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
REA
2 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
TOL
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
SFC
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
FOR
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |