Deportes Limache vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
6º
33
6º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 44 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 41 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 35 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 34 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
95.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
67% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Limache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 5
LIM
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LIM
0 - 1
CSD
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 3
LIM
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 1
LIM
20%
26%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LIM
3 - 3
FVC
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
UCO
2 - 1
MAG
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 0
UCO
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CON
0 - 0
UCO
22%
23%
56%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |