Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-2
Deportes Iquique vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
IQU
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
IND
4 - 2
IQU
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
IQU
56%
22%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
IQU
0 - 0
DEP
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
IQU
20%
23%
57%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CSD
53%
25%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
COQ
1 - 0
SAN
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
USF
2 - 0
SAN
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +2 |