Deportes Iquique vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
IQU
2 - 1
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
COB
4 - 1
IQU
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
IQU
1 - 1
LEO
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
IQU
0 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 1
IQU
67%
19%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
GUA
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SPC
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
LFC
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
JUV
78%
16%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 2
PEÑ
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |